Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008608 0.009672 0.010839 0.012219 0.013809 0.015591 0.017747
2025-04-27 0.007111 0.008585 0.010344 0.012617 0.015501 0.019071 0.023875
2025-05-04 0.006146 0.007770 0.009820 0.012630 0.016434 0.021481 0.028814
2025-05-11 0.005501 0.007216 0.009478 0.012732 0.017383 0.023928 0.034087
2025-05-18 0.004931 0.006667 0.009041 0.012600 0.017923 0.025803 0.038764
2025-05-25 0.004547 0.006315 0.008817 0.012708 0.018781 0.028208 0.044597
2025-06-01 0.004167 0.005925 0.008483 0.012593 0.019253 0.030040 0.049764
2025-06-08 0.003765 0.005460 0.007987 0.012160 0.019144 0.030885 0.053326
2025-06-15 0.003532 0.005224 0.007811 0.012204 0.019809 0.033097 0.059722
2025-06-22 0.003415 0.005155 0.007884 0.012657 0.021212 0.036788 0.069622
2025-06-29 0.003171 0.004863 0.007569 0.012414 0.021344 0.038147 0.075058
2025-07-06 0.002947 0.004586 0.007256 0.012138 0.021374 0.039299 0.080252
2025-07-13 0.002770 0.004383 0.007063 0.012088 0.021880 0.041583 0.088724
2025-07-20 0.002682 0.004321 0.007111 0.012487 0.023329 0.046071 0.103509
2025-07-27 0.002541 0.004158 0.006964 0.012499 0.023992 0.048983 0.115164
2025-08-03 0.002427 0.004032 0.006869 0.012600 0.024851 0.052471 0.129244
2025-08-10 0.002291 0.003856 0.006670 0.012469 0.025186 0.054793 0.140751
2025-08-17 0.002198 0.003751 0.006593 0.012576 0.026062 0.058570 0.157560
2025-08-24 0.002086 0.003602 0.006419 0.012462 0.026416 0.061103 0.171355
2025-08-31 0.001946 0.003392 0.006112 0.012035 0.025977 0.061512 0.178486
2025-09-07 0.001870 0.003299 0.006026 0.012079 0.026681 0.065100 0.197435
2025-09-14 0.001842 0.003295 0.006117 0.012526 0.028443 0.071967 0.230443
2025-09-21 0.001746 0.003151 0.005916 0.012286 0.028426 0.073725 0.245097